日前，中共党媒《人民日报 》政文微信的文章 透露，中共前政法委书记周永康 ，可能在下周召开的四中全会上被开除党籍，并被决定是否移送司法。
下周一，为期四天的中共中央四中全会将在北京召开。《人民日报》14号通过其政文部微信账号，发表评论文章说，今年7月29号，中共对周永康立案审查后，审查结果如何，是否开除党籍、移送司法等问题 ，有望在四中全会上作出安排。
另外，目前仍在接受调查的中共中央委员、国资委原主任蒋洁敏、公安部原副部长李东生；中央候补委员、广州原市委书记万庆良、四川省委原副书记李春城、中国 石油天然气集团公司原副总经理王永春等人的处理决定，也将在四中全会上追认。
路透社也引用了三名要求匿名的消息人士的话说，到时候，中纪委将报告周永康案的调查结果。
其中，一名与领导层有联系的消息人士说，中央预计将批准开除周永康的党籍，原因是严重违纪，并决定是否移送司法机关。但他还说，即使中央投票同意起诉周永康，司法程序也可能拖很长时间，因为人手不足，以及案件的复杂性。
中国社会问题研究人士张健：〝因为周永康自从被抓到现在呢，无论外界有什么猜测，在四中全会上，这是一个最好公开的时机了。可能会把周永康这个问题，借四中全会之际，在内部，对外，形成一个公开的论调。〞
消息人士向路透社表示，周永康从2013年底就已经受到软禁和腐败调查，他的家人和政治盟友也牵涉在内。另外还涉及窃听最高领导人的电话，以及他前妻在一起交通事故中的离奇死亡 。
据相关调查的知情人士说，过去两年来，周永康的亲戚、政治盟友、商业伙伴，共有300多人受到逮捕、拘留或质询。其中部分人的案件，可能在今年内就开审。有关部门扣押了相关人员的财产至少900亿元人民币。
但路透社说，消息人士和观察家都认为，中共不大可能将整个故事和盘托出，否则将进一步损害自身形象，并且也很难向公众解释，周永康是怎样在政治阶梯上一路爬升，直到成为政治局常委。
张健：〝中共给他定罪的话，有可能是从腐败、买官卖官和女色，在这几个方面是一个重点。至于其他的，像我们最关心的，对人权的迫害、活体器官的摘除、对于整个中国社会民众集体 抗争事件的暴力镇压。像这些方面的话，我相信中共还是不会提及的。正如当年对待薄熙来的案件一样。〞
习近平〝打老虎〞打到周永康，打破了中共〝刑不上常委〞的潜规则。不过观察人士认为，即使周案在四中全会上被定性，也不会是〝打老虎〞的句号。
北京时政 观察人士华颇：〝从最近这一系列事件来看，香港事件，还有国内的事件，各地的既得利益集团，进行了疯狂的反扑。打周永康，打了这只老虎，没有对其他人有足够的威慑。所以我想，还会有一些大老虎被打。〞
除了外媒透露出的周永康案，党媒报导，这次四中全会的主题将是〝依法治国〞。人民网13号说，四中全会以〝依法治国〞为主题讨论，是历史 上的第一次。
而距离1997年中共〝依法治国〞写入十五大报告，已经有17年了。因此观察人士对〝依法治国〞会给中共统治带来多大的改变，并不乐观。
华颇：〝所谓的依法治国，依宪治国，我想中共是有选择 的依照宪法了。就是党权的地位加强，就是所谓的‘四个坚持’，这是宪法上写的，它会一定要依照的。但是这个民权，就是宪法二十五条，就是公民有言论、游行、示威、出版、结社的自由，我看估计是不会依照的。〞
另外，也有评论人士认为，这次四中全会还将有人事异动，根据中共之前召开的十次四中全会的记录，有八次都涉及了人事调整，而且每次都涉及政治局级领导。
采访/朱智善 编辑/尚燕 后制/陈建铭
Party Media: Fourth Plenum May Publicize Zhou Yongkang’s Case
People’s Daily recently analyzed that during
the Fourth Plenary Session next week the former secretary
of the Central Politics and Law Commission Zhou Yongkang
could be expelled from the party and prosecuted.
The four-day Fourth Plenary Session of the Central
Committee will be held in Beijing next Monday.
A People’s Daily article on the 14th explained the case
investigation of Zhou Yongkang on July 29 could be
revealed during the meeting.
Other investigations such as those of former director
of SASAC Jiang Jiemin, former Vice Minister of Public
Security Li Dongsheng, former Party Secretary of Guangzhou
Wan Qingliang, former deputy secretary of Sichuan
Provincial Committee Li Chuncheng, and former deputy
general manager of PetroChina Wang Yongchun, will also
be ratified at the Fourth Plenary Session.
Reuters reported that the Central Commission for Discipline
Inspection will present its findings in a report on Zhou,
according to three sources.
“The Central Committee is expected to approve
(a proposal to) expel Zhou for grave violations
of party discipline and decide whether to turn him over
for prosecution,” one source with leadership ties told Reuters.
The source added, “If the Central Committee votes
to prosecute Zhou, the process will drag out due to a lack
of (judicial) manpower and the complexity of the case.”
Zhang Jian, China’s social problems researcher: “Regardless
of the speculation, the Fourth Plenary Session will be the best
time to open up on the Zhou Yongkang issue.
Through the Fourth Plenary, it is time to form a public
argument internally and externally.”
According to Reuters, Zhou has been put under virtual house
arrest since late 2013 and investigated for corruption involving
family members and political allies as well as ordering
the bugging of the telephones of top leaders
and the mysterious death of his former wife in a road accident,
sources have said.
More than 300 of Zhou’s relatives, political allies and their
business associates have been arrested, detained or questioned
over the past two years, according to sources briefed
on the investigations.
The trials of some of Zhou’s allies could start as early as
this year, the sources said.
Chinese authorities have seized assets worth at least
90 billion yuan ($14.5 billion) from these people,
the sources added.
Reuters also reported, but the party is unlikely to reveal
the entire story because it would further undermine its image
and make it difficult to explain to the public how Zhou
climbed the political ladder to eventually become a member
of the Politburo Standing Committee, sources and analysts said.
Zhang Jian: “The CCP could convict him mainly on
corruption, buying and selling official titles, and sex scandals.
As for the rest, such as what we are most concerned about—
the persecution of human rights, live organ harvesting,
and the violent suppression of masses protests in the entire
society— I don’t believe the CCP would mention any
of them, just like how Bo Xilai’s case was handled back then.”
Xi Jinping’s “hitting the tiger” campaign has broken
an unwritten rule that members of the Standing Committee
would not come under scrutiny after retirement.
But, observers believe even Zhou’s case will be confirmed
in the Fourth Plenum but won’t be the end of the campaign.
Beijing politics watcher Hua Po: “The recent series
of incidents such as the Hong Kong protest and other domestic
events have shown a frenzied counterattack
by the vested interest groups.
Beating Zhou Yongkang did not serve enough deterrent
to other tigers.
I am sure there are other tigers to be hit.”
People’s Daily said the Fourth Plenum theme
will also include “rule of law.”
The discussion of “rule of law” during the plenum
will be the first time in history.
“The rule of law” was introduced during
the 15th National Congress in 1997.
It has been 17 years, observers don’t hold much hope
for any change to the ruling under the Communist regime.
Hua Po: “The so-called rule of law or Constitution,
I think it’s optional to the CCP.
For instance, the Constitution says to strengthen the CCP
ruling and the four cardinal principles,
are what the CCP will abide by.
But, the civil rights in the Constitution article 25
about freedom of speech, parades, demonstrations,
publication, freedom of association, I don’t think the CCP
will honor them.”
There are also commentators who indicated
personnel changes will take place during the Fourth Plenary.
Eight of the 10 previous Fourth Plenum have engaged
in arrangement changes, in particularly
the Politburo leadership.
Interview/Zhu Zhishan Edit/ShanYan Post-Production/Chen Jianming
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