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【新唐人2013年10月31日讯】中共〝国防大学〞制作的一部影片视频，最近在网路上传播。影片中不但讲述了苏联、苏共 的解体，主要还批判了中共党政官员、和知识份子以及非政府组织被美国渗透，对中共进行肢解。有评论认为，这是军人干政的危险讯号。也有人分析，影片是想告诉中国 人，共产党解体在中国是不能发生的。也有学者反问，〝又说中美现在是战略伙伴的关系，又说是要颠覆我们，究竟那种说法是对的？〞请看报导。
这部宣传影片《较量无声》长达90分钟，分上、下两集，今年6月由军方最高学府〝国防大学〞制作。总制片人是〝国防大学〞政委、前国家主席李先念女婿刘亚洲上将。
据了解，这是第一次军方公开制播的论政节目，影片在开篇介绍了苏联在美苏冷战期间倒台的经过。
美国中文 杂志《中国事务》总编辑伍凡 分析，中共生怕在中国出现象苏共解体的景象，而藉此告诉人们，共产党的下一步方向。
美国中文杂志《中国事务》总编辑伍凡：〝习近平的方向就是，他把左、中、右三派都拉起来，维持政权、维持共产主义，他生怕在中国出现苏联瓦解，苏共解体，这个现象出来。所以这个电影的一开始，就把戈尔巴乔夫、叶利钦丑化了一顿，骂他们是叛徒，他们没有坚持共产主义。〞
影片中有俄罗斯首任总统叶利钦公开退出苏共的场面。
时事评论员林子旭：〝很多人看了这个视频或许会更加期盼中共早日垮台，看到叶利钦公开退出苏共的场面，我相信很多人的内心必然要受到震动。〞
外界普遍认为，叶利钦最大的功绩有三点：一是他退出共产党 ；二是他解体了苏共；最后他开创了一个民主进程，这个进程不但给俄罗斯，也给苏联解体后的世界历史 进程产生重大影响。
时事评论员林子旭认为，视频如果在早些年推出来，或许还能蛊惑人心，但是今天拿出来翻炒，效果恰恰相反。
林子旭：〝这个视频不是通过官方媒体，而是通过网路来炒作，其很有可能是中共党内某一派系所为，这应该是中共十八届三中全会之前党内权斗升级的一种表现，视频企图通过抬出邓小平，来警告党内想要在三中全会有所突破的官员，不要轻举妄动，否则苏共就是下场。〞
影片描述苏联垮台后美国战略目标的转移，指责美国企图用5条战线颠覆中国，包括政治渗透、文化渗透、思想渗透、组织渗透、政治干涉和社会渗透。
但中国近代史 学者章立凡对香港《明报》表示，影片的拍摄是军方出于利益的考虑。他认为，只有将中美关系这种〝颠覆〞、或是〝阴谋论〞说得极致，才能够争取更多的国防预算拨款。至于影片中所描述的中美关系，许多都是似是而非，他反问，〝又说美国现在是战略伙伴的关系，又说是要颠覆我们，究竟那种说法是对的？如果说美国要颠覆中国，那为何中共的高官要把他们的钱、把家人都送到美国呢，做卧底吗？〞
也有网友（Hok Kut Wong）提出：既然如此， 中国为什么要买那么多的美债，并且是美国的最大债主? 这不是〝资敌〞吗?!
林子旭分析，影片的功效是欺骗老百姓，因为目前中国社会危机四伏、矛盾重重，老百姓对中共怨声载道，中共巧妙的将这些民怨转嫁给了美国。
林子旭：〝这个视频很巧妙的把中共导致这些社会问题 的罪责，转嫁给了美国，试图让老百姓把怨气释放在美国身上，这样中共就可以获得一些喘息的机会。〞
《较量无声》这部影片还公开批判有些政府部门，〝利用国家资源为西方思想文化渗透鸣锣开道〞。香港《苹果日报》评论，既然中国的〝文化领域、党政机构如此不洁，是不是要再来一次文革的军管、支左？〞
采访编辑/常春 后制/陈建铭
Can Any Signs be Seen in the Chinese Military Documentary?
Recently, a video produced by China’s PLA National
Defense University (NDU) circulated online.
It shows how the Soviet Union collapsed and criticizes
members of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP),
intellectuals and non-governmental organizations, for being
infiltrated by the US, causing disintegration to the CCP.
Commentators believe that it is a dangerous signal that
the military is intervening in politics.
Analysts say that the film tells Chinese people
that the CCP’s collapse will not happen in China.
Some scholars question the film’s assertion that China
and the US are strategy partners;
but the film also states that the US wants to subvert China.
Which one is correct?
Let’s take a look.
The propaganda film, Silence Contest, is 90 minutes
with two parts.
It was produced in June by the highest military institution,
NDU.
The chief producer is NDU’s Political Commissar,
General Liu Yazhou, son of Li Xiannian, former vice chairman of the CCP.
Sources say that this is the first time the military openly
produced a film for a political program.
At the beginning, the film explains how the Soviet Union
collapsed during the US-Soviet Cold War.
Wu Fan, chief editor of US-based Chinese magazine,
China Affairs, analyzes that the CCP is worried it will
collapse like the communist Soviet Union.
The film foretells the CCP’s next move.
Wu Fan: “Xi Jinping’s direction is to unite leftists, neutralists,
and rightists in order to maintain power and socialism.
They show fear regarding the Soviet Union’s collapse
and the communist collapse appearing in China.
Thus at the beginning of the film, they defamed
Mikhail Gorbachev and Boris Yeltsin, calling them traitors,
as these men didn’t insist on communism.”
The film shows Russian first President Yeltsin openly
quitting communist Soviet.
Lin Zixu, current affairs commentator: “Many people likely
hope the CCP will collapse soon after watching the video.
I believe the scene where Yeltsin quit the communist party
will touch many people’s hearts.”
Observers believe that Yeltsin made three great achievements:
quitting the communist party; ending the communist Soviet
Union; and initiating the democracy process,
which not only influenced Russia
but also progressed Russian history.
Lin Zixu says that if the video had been launched years
earlier, it would have brainwashed some people’s minds.
However, stirring it up today has just the opposite effect.
Lin “This video is promoted through network websites
but not state-run media.
It is likely manipulated by one faction of the CCP.
It indicates the intensified struggle within the party
before the CCP’s Third Plenary Sessions.
The film intends to use Deng Xiaoping to warn party
officials who want to make a breakthrough not to move
casually, otherwise, what happened to communist Soviet
Union is the outcome.”
The film describes how after the Soviet Union collapsed,
the US strategic goals shifted.
The film claimed that the US intends to subvert China
in five ways including infiltrating politics, culture, thought,
organizations, political intervention and the society.
Zhang Lifan, modern Chinese history scholar, told Hong
Kong’s Ming Pao that the film shows the viewpoint
of military interests.
Zhang says that by saying Sino-US relations are extremely
subversive and by using conspiracy theory excuses,
more defense funds can be obtained.
Regarding the relationship between China and the US
mentioned in the film, many points are groundless.
Zhang questioned the part where the film mentioned that
Sino-US are strategy partners.
And then the film also said that the US wants
to subvert China.
Which one is correct?
If the US wants to subvert China, why did the high-level
CCP officials transfer their money and family to the US?
Do they do it for espionage events?”
Netizen Hok Kut Wong: “If it is the case,
why did China buy so much US debt?
Why did China become the US’s largest debt holder?
Does China fund its enemy?”
Lin Zixu says the film is being used to deceive civilians.
Currently, China’s social crises are everywhere,
and there are many contradictions.
Civilians are complaining about the CCP, thus the CCP
cunningly diverted the complaints to the US.
Lin: “The film cunningly transfers the social problems
caused by the CCP onto the US.
They are trying to get Chinese people to blame the US.
Thus the CCP can obtain a chance to breathe.”
Silent Contest openly criticized governmental organs,
claiming they, “used national resources to infiltrate
with Western ideology and cultures in order to pave the road.”
Hong Kong’s Apple Daily reported that if “cultural,
party and governmental organs are so dirty, does another
Cultural Revolution military control system need
to be launched to support the leftist movement?”
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